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event no show profile analysis

Type audience-analysis
Status complete

Event No-Show Profile Analysis — Open Day 2026

Section titled “Event No-Show Profile Analysis — Open Day 2026”

Analysis comparing the questionnaire profiles of people who attended open day events vs. those who registered but did not show up. Based on entries in Event Participants.

Sample: 9 no-shows with questionnaire entries (type: event-no-show) vs. 32 attendees (type: event-participant).

Important caveat: The no-show group here represents only those who both registered and submitted the questionnaire but still didn’t attend — a self-selected sub-group of the full no-show list. The remaining ~24 no-shows left no data. Patterns are suggestive, not conclusive at this sample size.


1. Pain & tension is the strongest differentiator

Section titled “1. Pain & tension is the strongest differentiator”
Reported issueNo-showsShowed up
Pain & tension33%88%
Poor concentration78%53%

The clearest pattern in the data. People with a physical/somatic concern as their primary driver showed up at a dramatically higher rate. No-shows were more likely to be motivated by cognitive concerns alone — wanting better focus or concentration — without the felt-body urgency of pain or discomfort.

When someone’s body is already giving a clear signal, they follow through. When the motivation is more abstract or mental, the barrier to attendance is higher.

2. Breathing practices — the sharpest secondary signal

Section titled “2. Breathing practices — the sharpest secondary signal”
Practice backgroundNo-showsShowed up
Breathing Practices33%72%
Mindfulness Practices67%66%

Mindfulness background is nearly identical between groups and predicts nothing. But breathwork background nearly doubles in the showed-up group. The somatic/body-awareness dimension of contemplative practice correlates with follow-through; the mental/attention-management dimension does not.

3. Contact improvisation — entirely absent from no-shows

Section titled “3. Contact improvisation — entirely absent from no-shows”
Movement backgroundNo-showsShowed up
Contact improvisation0%19%
Martial arts22%38%
HIIT11%28%

No no-show had contact improv experience. More broadly, high-physicality and body-contact practices are underrepresented in no-shows. People comfortable with somatic exploration and physical challenge are more likely to follow through.

4. Dance background — a mild inverse signal

Section titled “4. Dance background — a mild inverse signal”
Movement backgroundNo-showsShowed up
Dance67%50%

Small and not conclusive at this sample size, but dance-dominant profiles without somatic pain motivation may represent a group drawn more to the concept than the commitment. Worth monitoring.

5. Age — slightly older tends to show up

Section titled “5. Age — slightly older tends to show up”
GroupAvg ageRange
No-shows39.121–68
Showed up44.323–76

The two youngest no-shows (21, 22) had minimal movement backgrounds and primarily cognitive concerns. The direction aligns with the pain hypothesis — older audiences have more accumulated physical issues and stronger intrinsic motivation to attend.


Most likely to show up: physically engaged, has somatic or breathwork practice background, reports pain & tension as a concern, 40+.

Most at risk of no-show: primarily cognitively motivated (better focus, less stress), dance or yoga background only, no reported pain, younger.


The reported-issues field — specifically whether pain & tension appears — looks like the most reliable single predictor of attendance follow-through. If using registration data to triage follow-up outreach or forecast attendance, this is the variable to prioritise.